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中纸网评:生活用纸是否会重蹈铜版纸的覆辙?
 
http://0797xxg.com  2012-11-09 中国纸网

  ZI2010NIAN12YUEFENKAISHI,GUONEIZAOZHIYEJINGQIKAISHIXIAHUA。SHOUJINGJIXINGSHIYINGXIANG,ZAOZHIYEGUONEIXUQIUPIRUAN,CHUKOUFALI,JINRU2012NIANYIHOUZAOZHIQIYELIRUNKAISHIDAFUXIAJIANG。BIZHEZHUYIDAO,QIANSANJIDUZAOZHIYEZHENGTILIRUNTONGBIYANZHONGXIAHUA,CHENMINGZHIYE、TAIYANGZHIYE、JINGXINGZHIYEJUNCHUXIANLE70%ZUOYOUDEXIAHUA,SHENZHIYOUXIEQIYEZAIZHENGFUHONGBAODEJIEJIXIACAIKANKANBAOCHIYINGLI。

  1、生活用纸一枝独秀

  XIANGDUIYUZHENGGEZAOZHIXINGYEDEDIMI,SHENGHUOYONGZHIXINGYEKEWEISHIYIZHIDUXIU。ZAIQIYELIRUNPUBIANDAFUXIAHUADEXINGSHIXIA,SHENGHUOYONGZHIQIYELIRUNJUNCHENGXIANBUTONGFUDUDEZENGZHANG。

  ZHONGSHUNJIEROUSANJIBAOCHENG,GONGSI2012NIAN1-9YUESHIXIANYINGYESHOURU16.77YIYUAN,TONGBIZENGZHANG28.52%;SHIXIANGUISHUYUSHANGSHIGONGSIDEJINGLIRUN1.07YIYUAN,TONGBIZENGZHANG68.36%,QIZHONG7~9YUESHIXIANJINGLIRUN4129.6WANYUAN,TONGBIGENGDAZENG161.16%。GONGSIYUJI2012NIANJINGLIRUNTONGBIZENGZHANG60%~90%。

  ZAIGANGSHANGSHIDEHENGANGUOJIYIFACHUYEJICHAOYUQIZHONGBAO,CHENGQINEICHUNLIANNIANZENGZHANG37.6%ZHI16.26YIYUAN。WEIDAZHIYEYIBISHANGNIANZENGZHANG22.1%。TONGYANGZAIXIANGGANGSHANGSHIDEWEIDAZHIYESHANGBANNIANLIRUNTONGBIZENG35%。

  2、新项目密集上马

  HENGANJITUANJIJINNIANSHANGBANNIANZAIZHONGQINGCHANGTOUCHAN2TAINIANCHANNENG6WANDUNDEWEISHENGZHIJIZHIHOU,XIABANNIANYOUFENBIEYU7YUEHE9YUEZAIFUJIANJINJIANGHENGANZHICHANGGETOUCHANLE1TAINIANCHANNENG6WANDUNDEWEISHENGZHIJI,BINGYU9YUEZAIANHUIWUHUCHANGTOUCHAN1TAINIANCHANNENG6WANDUNDEWEISHENGZHIJI。CIWAI,WUHUCHANGDELING1TAINIANCHANNENG6WANDUNDEWEISHENGZHIJIYEYUBENYUEZHENGSHITOUCHAN。

  ZHONGSHUNJIEROUQUANZIZIGONGSIYUNFUZHONGSHUNNITOUZIYUE14.5YIYUAN,ZAILUODINGSHIGUANXIAQUYUNEITOUZIJIANSHEGAODANGSHENGHUOYONGZHIXIANGMU,CHANNENGYUJI24WANDUN/NIAN。

  JINHONGYEZAIXIAOGANDELIANGTAINIANCHAN6WANDUNZHIJISHUNLITOUCHANZHIHOU,LINGWAILIANGTAINIANCHAN6WANDUNZHIJIYEJIANGZAIMINGNIANTOUCHAN。

  CHENMINGZHIYEJINQIXUANBU,NITOURU17YIYUYUANXINJIANLIANGTIAOGAODANGSHENGHUOYONGZHISHENGCHANXIAN,XINGCHENGNIANCHAN13.6WANDUNGAODANGSHENGHUOYONGZHIDESHENGCHANNENGLI;YUEYANGLINZHIJINNIANSHANGBANNIANYECONGWENHUAZHIXIANGSHENGHUOZHIZHUANXING,JIANSHELEXINDESHENGCHANXIAN;HENANZHIQIYINGETOUZIZEZAIJINNIAN3YUEZHENGSHITOUCHANQI12WANDUNSHENGHUOZHIXIANGMU。

  JINGXINGZHIYEDONGSHIZHANGZHUZHANGLONG9YUE28RIXUANBU,GAIGONGSINIANCHAN6.8WANDUNGAODANGLVSEHUANBAOSHENGHUOYONGZHIXIANGMUZHENGSHIDIANJIKAIGONG。

  ……

  3、产能过剩之忧隐现

  2011NIANZHONGGUOSHICHANGSHENGHUOYONGZHIXIAOFEILIANGWEI528WANDUN,XINGYEANZHAO10%ZUOYOUDENIANZENGZHANGLVJISUAN,NIANXINZENGDESHICHANGRONGLIANGWEI50—60WANDUN。

  2009NIANWOGUOSHENGHUOYONGZHIXINGYEXINZENGCHANNENG33.3WANDUN,2010NIANXINZENGCHANNENG41.5WANDUN,2011NIANXINZENGCHANNENG57.4WANDUN,2012NIANYITOUCHANHEJIHUATOUCHANDEXINZENGCHANNENGYUE148.25WANDUN,GUIHUAZAI2013NIANJIZHIHOUTOUCHANDEYIXUANBUXIANGMUDEXINZENGCHANNENGYUE135WANDUN。

  SHENGHUOYONGZHIZHUANYEWEIYUANHUIMISHUZHANGJIANGMANXIABIAOSHI,“SUIRAN《ZAOZHIGONGYEFAZHANSHIERWUGUIHUA》TICHUTAOTAILUOHOUCHANNENGDEMUBIAO,DANDUIWEISHENGZHIJIDETAOTAIJIXINGBINGMEIYOUMINGQUEGUIDING,JUTINENGGOUGUANBIDUOSHAOLUOHOUCHANNENGHAISHIWEIZHISHU。”JIANGJINYIBUFENXISHUO,“XINGYEANZHAO10%ZUOYOUDENIANZENGZHANGLVJISUAN,NIANXINZENGSHICHANGRONGLIANGZAI50WAN~60WANDUNZHIJIAN。JIBIANYIKAOXUQIUZENGZHANGHEGUANBIXIAOCHANG,148.25WANDUNDEJINNIANXINZENGCHANNENGYESHIZAISHITAIDUO,NANYIXINA,JIEDUANXINGDECHANNENGGUOSHENGJIANGBUKEBIMIAN。”

  结束语:

  GAIGEKAIFANG30NIAN,TEBIESHIJIN10NIANLAI,ZHONGGUOZHIYEJINGLILEKUAYUESHIDEFAZHAN,NIANCHANLIANGCHAOGUO1YIDUN,CHENGWEISHIJIEDIERZAOZHIDAGUO。GENGSHIJINGLICONGJINKOUGUOZHUANBIANWEICHUKOUGUODELISHIXINGZHUANBIAN。DANZAIZAOZHIYEKUAISUFAZHANDEGUOCHENGZHONG,YEYUDAOLEQIANSUOWEIJIANDEWENTI。YITONGBANZHIWEILI,QIFAZHANGUOCHENGJIUSHICONGLUOHOUDAOQIBU,DAOFAZHAN,RANHOUYIHONGERSHANG,JINJIEZHEJIUSHICHANNENGJIJUPENGZHANGDAOZHIGUOSHENG。

  MUQIAN,SHENGHUOYONGZHIXINGYEYEZHENGZAIXIANGZHEGENGGAODECENGCIMAIJIN。RANER,KUAISUFAZHANDESHENGHUOYONGZHIXINGYE,TONGYANGMIANLINZHETONGBANZHIFAZHANGUOCHENGZHONGYUDAODEGANGAJUMIAN。JINHOUYIDUANSHIQINEI,SHENGHUOYONGZHIXINGYEPANGDADECHANNENGJIZHONGSHIFANG,JINKAOGUONEIXIAOFEILIANGDEZHENGCHANGZENGZHANGYIJINGWUFAXIAOHUA,CHANNENGGUOSHENGDEYINYOUYIJINGQIAORANLONGZHAOZHENGGEXINGYE。RUHETONGGUOSHICHANGHUADESHOUDUANJISHIDIAOZHENG,BIMIANZHONGDAOTONGBANZHIDEFUZHE,SHIYEJIEXUYAOGONGTONGMIANDUIHESIKAODEWENTI。

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